Economic Affairs Committee
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21 Jul 2026Triple lock materially raises pension spending but is not the sole issuePosition
“[Speaker: Laura Gardiner] There is a chart that shows state pension spending under the triple lock, earnings uprating and CPI uprating, or inflation uprating. The gap between the triple lock and earnings—as David said, by the 2070s it is close to 2% of GDP of spending—reflects the historical volatility of inflation and earnings, which allows us to estimate the years in which the non-earnings bit of the lock bite over 50 years.”
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View all (32)21 Jul 2026OBR fiscal risks: debt, pensions, health, AI